MacroQuant upgraded equities to overweight in February on a tactical short-term (1-to-3 month) horizon, but it continues to see downside risks to stocks on a medium-term (12-month) horizon. Consistent with the model’s relatively somber medium-term growth outlook, it sees more downside for bond yield...
Naturally occurring hydrogen as a clean-energy source has the potential to satisfy significant energy demand growth at low cost. Oil and gas E+P companies and pipelines are ideally positioned to take a leading role in this clean-energy evolution, given their core competencies include large-scale res...
Continue overweighting Mexican stocks, sovereign credit, and local bonds relative to their respective EM benchmarks. That said, the peso is overbought and will correct versus the US dollar. Therefore, we recommend that investors hedge the currency risk for their outright long positions in Mexican eq...
The US ‘immaculate disinflation’ has run its course, given that labour force participation is topping out. This leaves the Fed with a dilemma. Settle for price inflation stabilising at 3 percent, and cut rates early to avoid higher unemployment. Or, not cut rates early and go the final mile to 2 per...
This report presents the main ways to invest in the Nuclear Renaissance; from exposure to physical uranium to equity plays alongside or outside the nuclear fuel cycle....
Multifamily Real Estate is poised for a downturn, which will have ripple effects on the global economy. Present market fundamentals fail to compensate for the risks. Investors should seek opportunities in Fixed Income and Credit markets, while avoiding equity investments in Multifamily....
The odds of a “Minsky Moment” for the Chinese banking sector are low. They, however, will continue facing cyclical and structural headwinds, including a dismal asset quality and profit outlook. Bank stocks remain a value trap. Absolute-return investors should sell rebounds in Chinese bank stocks....
Though there are some positive signals recently for the Democrats, it is still hard for them to close the gap and turn things around. The Republicans are still favored to win the Senate as well as the House in the upcoming election....
The first in a series of Strategy Insights where we present a checklist for extending duration in each major government bond market. This first entry focuses on the US....
